Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 14 at the 92

Cleveland Browns 10 – Baltimore Ravens 3

(12:01) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 59 yards to BAL 33, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 13-D.Duvernay to CLE 21 for 46 yards (44-S.Takitaki).

The Three Options

GO -3.46 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 78, worth +0.49 EP
67% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 92, worth -5.43 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (109 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model