Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 13 at the 67

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3

(4:12) 11-R.Dixon punts 59 yards to TB 8, Center-42-M.Orzech. 1-J.Darden ran ob at TB 18 for 10 yards (32-T.Howard).

The Three Options

GO -1.95 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.50 EP
70% chance to fail: Tampa Bay Buccaneers takes over around their own 67, worth -3.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model