Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 14 at the 68

Kansas City Chiefs 9 – Tennessee Titans 7

(8:22) 5-T.Townsend punts 47 yards to TEN 21, Center-41-J.Winchester, fair catch by 2-R.Woods.

The Three Options

GO -1.64 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.72 EP
67% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 68, worth -3.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model