Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 8 at the 70

Philadelphia Eagles 20 – Green Bay Packers 20

(5:55) 8-A.Siposs punts 52 yards to GB 18, Center-45-R.Lovato, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.46 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.94 EP
59% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 70, worth -3.80 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model