Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 15 at the 60

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(11:52) 16-J.Scott punts 48 yards to ARI 12, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 15-P.Cooper.

The Three Options

GO -1.88 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +2.75 EP
72% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 60, worth -3.70 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model