Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 13 at the 64

Los Angeles Chargers 17 – Arizona Cardinals 24

(7:41) 16-J.Scott punts 39 yards to ARI 25, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.63 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.54 EP
69% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 64, worth -3.47 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model