Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 8 at the 73

Dallas Cowboys 7 – New York Giants 10

(8:40) 5-B.Anger punts 51 yards to NYG 22, Center-45-M.Overton. 80-R.James pushed ob at NYG 25 for 3 yards (25-N.Wright).

The Three Options

GO -1.63 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.90 EP
59% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 73, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model