Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 73

New York Giants 10 – Dallas Cowboys 7

(7:40) 6-J.Gillan punts 48 yards to DAL 25, Center-58-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

The Three Options

GO -2.05 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.53 EP
61% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 73, worth -4.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model