Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 5 at the 67

Philadelphia Eagles 7 – Tennessee Titans 0

(8:25) 8-A.Siposs punts 47 yards to TEN 20, Center-45-R.Lovato. 80-C.Board to TEN 29 for 9 yards (53-C.Elliss).

The Three Options

GO -0.95 EP

47% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +2.14 EP
53% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 67, worth -3.66 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model