Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 15 at the 66

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Los Angeles Chargers 24

(1:22) 11-R.Dixon punts 47 yards to LAC 19, Center-42-M.Orzech. 1-D.Carter ran ob at LAC 30 for 11 yards (33-N.Scott).

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.35 EP
72% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.73 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model