Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 10 at the 62

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Los Angeles Rams 0

(9:27) 16-J.Scott punts 48 yards to LA 14, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 19-B.Powell.

The Three Options

GO -1.05 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +3.02 EP
65% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 62, worth -3.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model