Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Carolina Panthers 4th & 7 at the 59

Carolina Panthers 0 – New Orleans Saints 7

(8:01) 10-J.Hekker punts 41 yards to NO 18, Center-44-J.Jansen, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.38 EP
61% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 59, worth -3.38 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model