Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 15 at the 58

Los Angeles Chargers 14 – Tennessee Titans 17

(7:08) 16-J.Scott punts 45 yards to TEN 13, Center-47-J.Harris, fair catch by 5-K.Jackson.

The Three Options

GO -1.34 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +3.02 EP
71% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 58, worth -3.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (75 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model