Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 91

New York Giants 12 – San Francisco 49ers 30

(2:13) 6-J.Gillan punts 52 yards to SF 39, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 3-R.McCloud to SF 49 for 10 yards (52-C.Coughlin).

The Three Options

GO -1.48 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 85, worth +1.15 EP
54% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 91, worth -3.73 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model