Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 72

New York Giants 3 – Seattle Seahawks 14

(1:08) 6-J.Gillan punts 61 yards to SEA 11, Center-59-C.Kreiter, downed by NYG.

The Three Options

GO -1.57 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.36 EP
58% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 72, worth -3.70 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model