Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 74

Dallas Cowboys 0 – San Francisco 49ers 7

(10:28) 5-B.Anger punts 52 yards to SF 22, Center-44-T.Sieg. 3-R.McCloud to SF 23 for 1 yard (29-C.Goodwin).

The Three Options

GO -2.44 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.24 EP
63% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 74, worth -4.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model