Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 12 at the 80

Cleveland Browns 14 – Seattle Seahawks 17

(1:51) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 59 yards to SEA 21, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 31-D.Dallas to SEA 25 for 4 yards (28-M.Ford).

The Three Options

GO -2.62 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.41 EP
68% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 80, worth -4.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model