Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cleveland Browns 4th & 19 at the 84

Cleveland Browns 20 – Seattle Seahawks 24

(:22) (Shotgun) 10-P.Walker pass incomplete deep left to 85-D.Njoku.

The Three Options

GO -1.74 EP

What Happened

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +0.40 EP
74% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 84, worth -2.49 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose GO Model wanted PUNT instead — cost +1.26 EP