Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 8 at the 69

Philadelphia Eagles 28 – Dallas Cowboys 23

(:59) 10-B.Mann punts 55 yards to DAL 14, Center-45-R.Lovato, downed by PHI-53-C.Elliss.

The Three Options

GO -0.64 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +0.73 EP
61% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 69, worth -1.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model