Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 71

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Detroit Lions 0

(13:44) 16-J.Scott punts 58 yards to DET 13, Center-47-J.Harris. 11-K.Raymond to DET 25 for 12 yards (47-J.Harris).

The Three Options

GO -1.22 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.31 EP
56% chance to fail: Detroit Lions takes over around their own 71, worth -3.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model