Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 18 at the 80

Seattle Seahawks 3 – San Francisco 49ers 21

(3:22) 4-M.Dickson punts 59 yards to SF 21, Center-41-C.Stoll. 3-R.McCloud pushed ob at SF 25 for 4 yards (20-J.Love).

The Three Options

GO -2.58 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.97 EP
74% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 80, worth -4.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model