Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 7 at the 82

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Cleveland Browns 7

(9:57) 42-E.Evans punts 53 yards to CLE 29, Center-47-A.Ward. 11-J.Proche ran ob at CLE 44 for 15 yards (18-B.Skowronek).

The Three Options

GO -2.14 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.41 EP
59% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 82, worth -4.62 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model