Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 8 at the 73

Minnesota Vikings 24 – Cincinnati Bengals 24

(:19) 14-R.Wright punts 53 yards to CIN 20, Center-42-A.DePaola. 80-A.Iosivas to CIN 20 for no gain. CIN-15-C.Jones was injured during the play.

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +0.17 EP
61% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 73, worth -1.77 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model