Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 10 at the 60

Philadelphia Eagles 10 – Seattle Seahawks 3

(1:19) 10-B.Mann punts 45 yards to SEA 15, Center-45-R.Lovato. 31-D.Dallas to SEA 19 for 4 yards (32-R.Blankenship).

The Three Options

GO -0.54 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.40 EP
64% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 60, worth -2.18 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model