Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 13 at the 78

Seattle Seahawks 10 – Philadelphia Eagles 17

(3:17) 4-M.Dickson punts 57 yards to PHI 21, Center-41-C.Stoll, fair catch by 18-B.Covey.

The Three Options

GO -2.47 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.77 EP
68% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 78, worth -4.49 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (95 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model