Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Green Bay Packers 4th & 17 at the 82

Green Bay Packers 23 – Carolina Panthers 10

(13:43) 19-D.Whelan punts 54 yards to CAR 28, Center-42-M.Orzech, downed by GB-20-R.Ford.

The Three Options

GO -3.06 EP

29% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.64 EP
71% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 82, worth -4.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model