Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Tennessee Titans 4th & 6 at the 71

Tennessee Titans 0 – Houston Texans 17

(7:26) 13-T.Zentner punts 46 yards to HOU 25, Center-46-M.Cox. 25-D.King to HOU 36 for 11 yards (40-A.Kendall).

The Three Options

GO -1.78 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.42 EP
56% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 71, worth -4.25 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model