Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 68

New York Giants 6 – Minnesota Vikings 28

(3:32) 6-J.Gillan punts 50 yards to MIN 18, Center-59-C.Kreiter, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.15 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.98 EP
63% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 68, worth -3.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model