Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 10 at the 65

Carolina Panthers 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 20

(:25) 10-J.Hekker punts 64 yards to LAC 1, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-83-D.Moore.

The Three Options

GO -1.42 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.36 EP
69% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 65, worth -2.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model