Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 14 at the 74

Los Angeles Rams 3 – Arizona Cardinals 24

(3:13) 42-E.Evans punts 46 yards to ARI 28, Center-47-A.Ward, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.12 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.74 EP
65% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 74, worth -4.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model