Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 19 at the 67

Seattle Seahawks 17 – Miami Dolphins 3

(1:01) 4-M.Dickson punts 44 yards to MIA 23, Center-41-C.Stoll, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.98 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +1.52 EP
72% chance to fail: Miami Dolphins takes over around their own 67, worth -3.32 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model