Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 10 at the 80

Pittsburgh Steelers 3 – Dallas Cowboys 3

(12:28) 8-C.Waitman punts 46 yards to DAL 34, Center-46-C.Kuntz, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

The Three Options

GO -1.95 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.81 EP
62% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 80, worth -4.24 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model