Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Giants 4th & 4 at the 64

New York Giants 23 – Seattle Seahawks 13

(6:05) 6-J.Gillan punts 59 yards to SEA 5, Center-59-C.Kreiter, downed by NYG-24-D.Belton.

The Three Options

GO -0.79 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.80 EP
51% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 64, worth -3.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model