Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 76

Seattle Seahawks 7 – New York Giants 0

(13:43) 4-M.Dickson punts 55 yards to NYG 21, Center-41-C.Stoll. 87-I.Smith-Marsette to NYG 19 for -2 yards (22-T.Brown).

The Three Options

GO -1.71 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.76 EP
59% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 76, worth -4.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model