Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 8 at the 65

New York Giants 7 – Washington Commanders 14

(5:30) 38-M.Haack punts 60 yards to WAS 5, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 14-O.Zaccheaus ran ob at WAS 13 for 8 yards (49-M.Adams).

The Three Options

GO -1.36 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.35 EP
63% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 65, worth -3.54 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model