Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Giants 4th & 9 at the 60

New York Giants 14 – Carolina Panthers 17

(3:34) 6-J.Gillan punts 41 yards to CAR 19, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 83-D.Moore.

The Three Options

GO -0.90 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 51, worth +2.08 EP
63% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 60, worth -2.66 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model