Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 6 at the 76

Pittsburgh Steelers 3 – Baltimore Ravens 0

(7:00) 8-C.Waitman punts 51 yards to BAL 25, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-42-J.Pierre.

The Three Options

GO -1.52 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.65 EP
54% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 76, worth -4.24 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model