Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 7 at the 67

Los Angeles Chargers 24 – Cincinnati Bengals 6

(14:14) 16-J.Scott punts 58 yards to CIN 9, Center-47-J.Harris. 16-T.Irwin to CIN 26 for 17 yards (58-S.Quarterman).

The Three Options

GO -1.21 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.32 EP
57% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 67, worth -3.85 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model