Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 15 at the 79

Cincinnati Bengals 6 – Los Angeles Chargers 24

(13:37) 8-R.Rehkow punts 63 yards to LAC 16, Center-48-C.Adomitis. 12-D.Davis to LAC 41 for 25 yards (87-T.Hudson).

The Three Options

GO -2.56 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +1.91 EP
69% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 79, worth -4.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model