Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 17 at the 72

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(2:14) 4-M.Dickson punts 52 yards to ARI 20, Center-41-C.Stoll. 4-G.Dortch ran ob at ARI 20 for no gain.

The Three Options

GO -2.18 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.61 EP
72% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 72, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model