Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 5 at the 65

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Philadelphia Eagles 13

(:33) 42-E.Evans punts 28 yards to PHI 37, Center-47-A.Ward, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.91 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.13 EP
55% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 65, worth -2.56 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model