Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 5 at the 65

Cincinnati Bengals 21 – Pittsburgh Steelers 24

(2:05) 8-R.Rehkow punts 46 yards to PIT 19, Center-48-C.Adomitis, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.90 EP

48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.00 EP
52% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 65, worth -3.52 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model