Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 11 at the 63

Cleveland Browns 7 – Pittsburgh Steelers 3

(14:50) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 63 yards to end zone, Center-50-R.Sunahara, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.77 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.47 EP
69% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 63, worth -3.69 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model