Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 9 at the 66

Cleveland Browns 0 – Cincinnati Bengals 14

(4:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 47 yards to CIN 19, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 18-I.Williams to CIN 32 for 13 yards (43-M.Diabate).

The Three Options

GO -1.66 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.91 EP
65% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 66, worth -3.62 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model