Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Giants 4th & 7 at the 57

New York Giants 0 – Philadelphia Eagles 7

(5:22) 6-J.Gillan punts 43 yards to PHI 14, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 83-J.Dotson.

The Three Options

GO -1.20 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.49 EP
64% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 57, worth -3.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model