Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 4 at the 75

New York Giants 6 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(12:21) 12-J.Gillan punts 50 yards to DAL 25, Center-59-C.Kreiter, fair catch by 9-K.Turpin.

The Three Options

GO -1.61 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.29 EP
51% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 75, worth -4.42 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model