Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cleveland Browns 4th & 7 at the 62

Cleveland Browns 10 – Detroit Lions 27

(12:55) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 45 yards to DET 17, Center-50-R.Sunahara, fair catch by 11-K.Raymond.

The Three Options

GO -1.46 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.83 EP
63% chance to fail: Detroit Lions takes over around their own 62, worth -3.41 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model