Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 6 at the 84

Dallas Cowboys 2 – Green Bay Packers 13

(8:42) 5-B.Anger punts 46 yards to GB 38, Center-44-T.Sieg. 0-M.Golden to GB 40 for 2 yards (35-M.Liufau).

The Three Options

GO -1.84 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 78, worth +1.40 EP
54% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 84, worth -4.60 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model