Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cleveland Browns 4th & 5 at the 73

Cleveland Browns 3 – Pittsburgh Steelers 9

(14:02) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 67 yards to PIT 6, Center-50-R.Sunahara. 85-K.Williams to PIT 21 for 15 yards (5-R.Jenkins; 28-T.Avery).

The Three Options

GO -1.75 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.41 EP
55% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 73, worth -4.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model