Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New York Jets 4th & 4 at the 72

New York Jets 14 – Cleveland Browns 7

(:19) 14-A.McNamara punts 46 yards to CLE 26, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 84-G.Larvadain.

The Three Options

GO -1.21 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +1.74 EP
51% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 72, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model